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There is a strange phenomenon in big projects. The bigger the project becomes… …the smaller your world gets. Egos kill more projects than bored consultants. I’ve seen it. Normally, it goes like that… You spend your morning discussing clause 38.4. Lunch reviewing the debt sizing. And your afternoon arguing whether a risk should be red… …or dark orange. … and what would be the right color after mitigation… Meanwhile: Interest rates move. A contractor issues a profit warning. A Government changes policy. A competitor gets acquired. A bank changes appetite. An entire market quietly changes around you. And six months later someone writes: “This development was not reasonably foreseeable.” Sure. Sometimes it wasn’t. Sometimes nobody had opened the newspaper. One of the things I’ve learned after years working on infrastructure projects is that commercial judgement comes partly from looking outside the project. Not reading everything. Just knowing enough about business, markets and the economy to notice when something important is changing. Aka… get your head outside your a$$... or your cabeza fuera del culo. This is why I like short daily business briefings. If you want one that takes about five minutes rather than your entire breakfast, Morning Brew is worth a look. Your risk register may not thank you. But your Board might. Use this information at your own risk. PD 1: If you liked this email, don't keep it in secret and forward it to a friend. They will thank you enormously one day. PD 2: If somebody has sent you this email and you want to receive emails like this yourself, visit vicentevalencia.com PD 3: If you want unsubscribe, click the link below. |
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You arrive to the room like a child with new shoes. First project meeting. Excited. Then a guy with not much hair says… “The SPV will pass the risk down through back-to-back contracts, subject to equivalent project relief and the lenders’ step-in rights.” You nod. Of course you nod. You have a degree. Twenty years of experience. And a LinkedIn profile that says “strategic leader.” You cannot possibly ask what the hell that means. So you write “back-to-back” in your notebook. Twice. Must be...
It’s election time in New Zealand. And you know… Governments love infrastructure pipelines. Pipelines create jobs. Especially for consultants preparing slides about the pipeline. I won’t talk about NZ… today… or maybe I do later… Let’s talk about Nigeria. Yes… Nigeria has been building PPP pipelines for years. On steroids. And you know what happens if you abuse… Well… In 2020, its infrastructure commission reported adding 158 projects. Yes… projects… not speed tickets. This year, the...
Every crossing of a street, I tell my four-year-old son: “Check both sides before crossing.” He normally looks at it for two seconds and says: “Done.” This is not quality assurance. It is confidence. A simple process. One person does the work. Another person verifies it. Apparently, this governance innovation had not yet reached Edinburgh, in the “Ununited Kingdom”. In 2001, the City entered into a 30-year PPP to deliver and maintain a group of new and refurbished schools. Seventeen of them....